Posts

SBY is now a quant based Darwin

I've been using the Multicharts platform now for over 10 years. Over that time I must have developed hundreds of strategies and spent thousands of hours trying to design a strategy which stood up to the test of live trading.  Most strategies were over-optimised and lacked any grounding in any fundamental idea. Far too...

Continue reading

2021 Investment outlook

Whilst 2020 was a tough year for many, that does not mean 2021 cannot be even more extreme. Monetary policy will continue to be extremely easy throughout 2021 unless the virus is beaten back and inflation shows up very quickly. Whilst the Dems took both Houses, they do not have a majority that would...

Continue reading

Bitcoin is going mainstream

Bitcoin rose above $28,000 today. It seems to be gaining wider acceptance in the traditional finance community. If it is to become an accepted asset class, it has only just started the journey and hence its price is likely to see continued gains. Unfortunately, Darwinex no longer supports cryptocurrency so I cannot add to...

Continue reading

The US gambles with the dollar

Jerome Powell's recent announcement of the change in Fed policy to target inflation at 2% on average was not a surprise. Powell has previously tried to communicate that the Fed is indifferent between missing on the upside as they are missing on the downside. This policy statement tries to build on those previous statements....

Continue reading

Another gold liquidation

Yesterday saw a large sell off in gold and silver. Reasons for the fall were abound including rising inflation, increasing yields and the Russian vaccine approval. All of them valid reasons why gold and silver would fall after sitting in overbought territory for so long. But what has changed? The reason I hold gold...

Continue reading

Looking ahead

LWE and SKI have held very similar positioning over the last couple of weeks. That reflects my view that the short and medium term opportunities are aligned. However, I expect as the Summer moves on we will see increased volatility due to fiscal incentives being reduced and the momentum trade on gold getting more...

Continue reading